محددات الصادرات الزراعية في الجزائر – دراسة قياسية للفترة(2018-1987) -

Abstract

This study aims to estimate and measure the factors affecting Algerian agricultural exports during the period 1987-2018. Accordingly, the impact of each of the following variables will be measured: agricultural production, the exchange rate, inflation, trade openness and the oil price in enhancing the competitiveness of Algerian agricultural exports, Depending on the autoregressive ARDL model. The study concluded that there is a positive and moral impact of agricultural production, exchange rate and oil price on agricultural exports, and a negative impact of trade openness on agricultural exports. This explains that the exchange rate contributes to enhancing agricultural exports, and trade openness discourages agricultural exports in Algeria. We also found a short-term and long-term relationship between the price of oil and Algerian agricultural exports, and there is no relationship between inflation and Algerian agricultural exports