أثر سعر الصرف على رصيد الميزان التجاري

Abstract

This study aimed to studies the impact of the Algerian dinar exchange rate on the trade balance during the period 1990-2022, using the autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) methodology. The study concluded that there is no longterm relationship between the exchange rate and the trade balance in the Algerian economy, while there is A short-run relationship between the two variables. The results of estimating the short-run equation show that the exchange rate positively affects the trade balance This effect extends to the previous two periods, while it is affected by its previous values in one period. The bottom line is that the Algerian foreign neighbor is not affected by the exchange rate and this is due to the fact that the local economy is unable to cover the needs of the local market for many products